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Can Methode Continue To Outperform The Industry In Covid19 Situation?

Can Methode Continue To Outperform The Industry In Covid19?

Methode Electronics Inc.

Methode Electronics Inc. (MEI) was trading at around $27+ during March 2020 when the pandemic of Covid19 was at its peak. Today it is trading around $32+, which shows a good 17%+ increase!

MEI stock is owned by a few top institutional investors such as BlackRock Inc, LSV Asset Management, Wells Fargo and Wedge Capital Management. However, at the same time, this analyst has also noticed some insider selling in the past 3 months.

Some of the upsides:

  • PE ratio 9.7 times vs industry average 26.7 times (based on Gurufocus)
  • Earnings growth +17% vs electronics industry negative growth -21% (quoted from Simply Wall St)
  • Interest Coverage is 15times EBIT

These are all interesting facts about Methode. Now, let us zoom in further to the business to find out if this is a valuable investment.

HOW DOES MEI MAKE MONEY?

Methode is a small cap company with $1.23B market capitalization but displaying aggressive growth.

It is a global developer for custom-engineered and application-specific products and solutions. Methode designs, manufactures, and markets for devices employing electrical, radio remote control, electronic, LED lighting, and sensing technologies.

The business segments cover automotive, industrial, interface and medical fields.

Methode also has a focus on future fields such as Electric & Hybrid Vehicles, and data centres & appliances which will strongly bring the company to the next level of growth.

WHAT’S ONE THING UNIQUE ABOUT THIS COMPANY

One unique thing about this company is that the multi-business segments products are all interconnected. This makes it easy for the business to do cross-selling, which is one surefire way of increasing company’s revenue!

Apart from that, Methode’s partnership is broad, especially for such a small cap company. For example, in the automotive and industrial machinery segments, Methode partners with leading brands like Ford, GM, BMW, Tesla, etc. Methode has also won numerous excellence awards from these partners.

Moreover, due to its low-cost global manufacturing footprint and integrated network, Methode has managed to build an exceptional customer relationship with their numerous partners

REVENUE & GROSS MARGIN TREND

Revenue and Gross Margin has been trending upwards and showing positive growth for the past 5 years.

Methode’s revenue has crossed $1bn since 2019 and continues to grow.

Methode has a lower gross margin vs Industry average due to high product R&D cost and an inability to be the price setter. There could be a potential value trap here if the management is unable to get out of this perpetual cycle.

Revenue And Gross Margin %

MEI’s revenue is mainly driven by the Automotive segment (c.69% of total revenue) focused mainly in the North America Region.

MEI has two key customers – GM (43.4%) & Ford (12.3%) with consolidated net sales contribution of 55.6%.

Revenue By Segments And Region

EARNINGS PER SHARE TREND

Earnings Per Share Trend
EPS is showing mostly positive and upwards trending. As mentioned in the annual report, the uptick in EPS in 2019/20 is due to a decrease in selling and admin expenses; the lower costs were chiefly due to lower sales caused by Covid19.
Growth Rate
Based on the above calculation, the company is growing at ~17% which this analyst has categorized as a medium growth company.
MEI has been flagged multiple times by its’ own management as a price taker. It is difficult for MEI to control pricing, and hence margins and earnings.

WHAT HAS IMPACTED THEIR PERFORMANCE RECENTLY? (BASED ON THE LATEST QUARTERLY REPORT)

Methode has experienced a drop in sales, driven by the Covid19 pandemic, in the recent quarter earnings release.
Key highlights in the latest quarterly earnings:
  • Late quarter rebound in automotive sales
  • Cost saving actions partially mitigated the negative impact from Covid19
  • Electric and Hybrid Vehicle Program is growing
Methode reported $0.54 EPS for the quarter, topping’s analysts’ consensus estimates of $0.26 by $0.28.It is also reported earnings of $190.9m during the quarter, vs analysts’ estimates of $174.3m.This indicated that Methode is performing better than expectations, which is a good sign.
Nevertheless, Methode’s business segments are highly dependent on the economic situation and market condition. Therefore, expect the current pandemic situation, fuel cost, consumer confidence and unemployment rates to definitely play a big part in MEI’s recovery outlook.
In this analyst’s opinion, we should wait for the next quarter’s earning release to gauge if Methode is able to deliver on what it has promised in terms of earnings and revenue estimates. Also, it remains to be seen if the new president of the United States can potentially influence the unemployment rate of the US, and stimulate the economy to a recovery. If that happens, then Methode should be in a great position to deliver shareholder value.

DISCLOSURE

The above article is for educational purposes only. Under no circumstances does any information provided in the article represent a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any stocks/asset.  In no event shall ViA or any Author be liable to any viewers, guests or third party for any damages of any kind arising out of the use of any content shared here including, without limitation, use of such content outside of its intended purpose of investor education, and any investment losses, lost profits, lost opportunity, special, incidental, indirect, consequential or punitive damages resulting from such unintended use.

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